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Thursday November 5, 2026 2:15pm - 3:00pm PST
Your backlog has a sorting problem.

The CVSS 9.1 chain gets the oxygen. The ugly old login flow gets a shrug. The weird admin route nobody owns gets pushed to next quarter. Then the attacker shows up and picks the boring path, because boring is cheap, quiet, reusable, and good enough.

That's the gap this talk is about. CVSS tells you how bad exploitation can be. EPSS and KEV tell you what is being exploited, or likely to be exploited, somewhere in the world. OWASP Risk Rating helps reason about likelihood and impact. Those are useful inputs, but your sprint still needs a sharper local question: for this system, with these defenses, which complete path would an attacker choose first?

I built Capability Trees for that argument. It's a small open-source CLI and rubric that ranks complete attack paths, not isolated bugs. For each path, you score five things: acquisition cost, detection risk, reusability, required skill, and payoff. The number isn't magic. The point is to make the tradeoff explicit enough that security and engineering can stop arguing from vibes.

I'll run it live on an anonymized multi-tenant SaaS backlog. In that worked example, the scary CVSS 9.1 billing chain drops to last. Credential stuffing and a cross-tenant IDOR jump into the top tier. I won't ask you to trust the reorder because a formula said so. I'll walk the economics until the boring path feels obvious in hindsight. Then I run the sensitivity check on stage, because the honest question is obvious: did I just tune the weights until the demo looked good?

Sometimes the ranking holds. Sometimes it wobbles, and the tool tells you to slow down. Either outcome is useful. You leave with the tool and a one-hour way to run this with your own engineers on Monday.
Speakers
avatar for Hugo Guillaume

Hugo Guillaume

Security Engineer, Konvu
Hugo Guillaume is a security researcher. He spent close to three years on offensive and defensive security research in a government national-defense setting, doing vulnerability research and reverse engineering and building automated bug-discovery systems. He also teaches cybersecurity... Read More →
Thursday November 5, 2026 2:15pm - 3:00pm PST
Room: Bayview B (Bay Level)

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